USPS’ Upcoming Price Change

Are USPS’ Bottom Line Improvements Really On the Way?

For years now, (certainly too many to recall), we have been hearing about the financial woes of the United States Postal Service, (USPS).  And, from what we have heard the news has never provided any hope that things would actually change for the better, except maybe until now.

You see, the new Postmaster General, logistics veteran Louis DeJoy, is committed to making positive changes at the USPS with a goal towards reducing long time deficits and hopefully even making a profit at some point in the not-to-distant future.   

The USPS has struggled for a very long time with continued declining volumes of First Class and Marketing Mail wreaking havoc on USPS revenues.  More impactful however is the USPS’ almost $34 Billion retiree health benefit pre-funding obligation, which it actually defaulted on from 2012 through 2016.  It’s a deep financial hole the USPS may never be able to fully recover from.  

In order to overcome the continued poor financial conditions at the USPS, it will require a combination of strong cost cutting initiatives, along with implementing improved revenue generating policies the USPS can count on today and well into the future.   

It’s important to remember that on one side of the coin the USPS partners with the leading industry logistics service providers such as Amazon, FedEx and UPS as major global package delivery services.  And, on the other side of the coin, they actually compete with those same industry leaders for their share of business.  

With the tremendous growth of on-line shopping dramatically ramping up the need for residential deliveries growing as a result of the Covid-19 crisis, the USPS’ delivery services are in a good position to grow exponentially but only if proper operational and sound financial structures are in place.  And, this trend will continue long after the world gets back to normal, whatever that actually turns out to be. 

So, placing logistics expert, Louis DeJoy with over 35 years of industry experience at the helm of the US Postal Service is exactly what the doctor ordered and extremely timely.  Mr. DeJoy’s experience had him working in concert with such mega firms as Disney, Boeing, Verizon, United Technologies, not to mention working closely with the USPS.  That’s experience that can go a long way in the postal service’s goal towards improving the agency’s bottom line profitability.

There are several areas on the Postmaster General’s radar screen, but perhaps none more revealing than the fact that Mr. DeJoy wants USPS staff to “leave mail behind at distribution centers if it delayed letter carriers from their route.”  This is the exact opposite of what has been Standard Operating Procedure at USPS, requiring postal workers not to leave mail behind and to make multiple delivery trips to deliver all the mail, if necessary.  

By making multiple trips to deliver all of the mail and packages that are available for delivery, USPS projects that it costs upwards of $200 Million annually in increased costs.  The focus will now be on addressing what is causing those delays in the hopes of making necessary adjustments to improve the process.

Other cost-cutting measures being discussed include, prohibiting overtime and cutting down on measures currently employed by local postmasters of augmenting local staffing issues.  

These issues, if the USPS was managed in a purely business environment, would probably have been attacked many years ago and cost reduction efforts would be part of an ongoing process to assure profitability.  In our opinion, the USPS must be managed just as any other business is managed in today’s fast-paced business environment.

Having said that, we fully understand the challenges the USPS faces and clearly its needs are extremely complex.  It will take much time to achieve many of these cost efficiencies, however with Mr. DeJoy at the helm we should start to see these improvements taking effect in the not-to-distant future; at least we hope that’s the case!   

To help the Postmaster General with his operational improvement and cost reduction efforts, the Department of the Treasury recently reached an agreement with USPS to provide up to a $10 Billion loan under provisions of the Cares Act.  USPS would have usage of the loan proceeds for operating expenses if USPS determines that due to the Covid-19 emergency, it will not be able to fund operating expenses without borrowing money.

The loan availability, as well as the processes the Postmaster General has identified as critical issues to attack first, should go a long way towards assisting the USPS in its efforts towards attaining profitability.  Let’s at least hope that’s what it does.    

Interested in reading more about USPS?  Check out the latest disruptions and resumptions due to the Covid-19 crisis and learn about its Priority Mail Suspensions

USPS

USPS Jumps on Dimensional Weight Pricing Bandwagon

The United States Postal Service is implementing a reduction in the Dimensional Weight Factor for several of its parcel shipping services which is scheduled to be implemented on June 23, 2019.  Anytime there is a reduction in the Dimensional Weight Divisor the result will be an increase in the cost to ship packages that are subject to that change. This new pricing change will affect Priority Mail, Priority Mail Express, as well as some other parcel services offered by the Postal Service.

The pricing change however will only affect packages that exceed one cubic foot.  So, shippers who have the ability to ship their products in packages of one cubic foot, (1728 cubic inches) or less would be wise to continue to ship in those packages to avoid this increase.  USPS will continue to charge based on actual weight for all packages shipped that are less than one cubic foot.

The change USPS will be implementing on June 23rd moves the Dimensional Weight Factor from the current divisor of 194 to a divisor of 166.  

Here is an example of how this pricing change will affect a Priority Mail Package whose actual weight is 5 pounds, where the package dimensions total 2340 cubic inches.  Remember this is just one example of how this pricing change will affect USPS parcel shippers.

Priority Mail

Actual package weight 5 lbs.

Package dimensions of – 15 x 13 x 12 = 2340 cubic inches

Dim factor of 194 chargeable weight 13 lbs. = $32.80

Dim factor of 166 chargeable weight 15 lbs. = $36.90

Chargeable weight increases by 16.6%

Net charges increase by 12.5%

The message here is that parcel shippers need to constantly evaluate all of the continual changes all parcel carriers implement throughout the year.  Shippers must fully understand the changing pricing structures of the parcel carriers they utilize and how these pricing changes will ultimately impact their businesses bottom line.  Ignoring these changes without performing on-going benchmarking and target pricing analyses for their businesses will only serve to lessen profit margins which no business can afford in these very competitive times.  A Parcel Audit is recommended to help save on shipping costs.

The True Value of Free Shipping

More and more on-line retailers are establishing loyalty programs to gain critical information about a shoppers likes and dislikes.  This data is used to market directly to those shoppers who may want, but may not necessarily need that retailers products.  After all isn’t it the retailers job to entice the shoppers by constantly feeding them product information?  The result, expect more pop-ups and e-mails my friends!  In return for this wealth of information, the retailers are offering “free” shipping which as we all know has become, shall we say, the “standard” for on-line retailers.

The real question however for these online retailers will be as their actual shipping costs rise, (and they are rising continually), how will they manage to continue to offer “free” shipping to their customers.  The answer is and has always been, “the devils in the details.”  And what we mean by that is the retailers must have a wealth of statistical data gleamed from their actual “real time” shipping data to track their costs on an-on-going basis.  Without this data, and more importantly the ability to properly and comprehensively analyze that data, the retailers cannot be assured that their shipping costs aren’t eating into their profits.  Many have found out too late that is exactly what had happened to them.

In addition, the retailers must be willing to continually monitor service offerings as well as shipping costs that are available from various shipping companies who compete with the retailer’s current service provider(s).  While this sounds logical, you would be amazed at how many companies are “locked” into their current service providers and are not aware that shipping options are constantly changing and therefore need to be constantly analyzed.

Is single sourcing the best option for controlling freight costs, perhaps.  Many shippers refuse to “put all their eggs in one basket”, yet others have done so successfully for many years.  Perhaps it makes sense to “share” their annual packages with two or more carriers.  If that’s the approach, what percentage should each carrier receive?  How do these competing carrier’s service levels, rates, ancillary charges, rules and regulations stack up against the incumbent carrier(s)?

The reality is the right answer can only be reached after comprehensive analysis has been done to determine which carrier(s)selection is best.  Then once that selection has been made, it must be tested and challenged year after year to make sure it’s still the best option.  One and done routing decisions never work; not fully understanding continually changing carrier pricing levels will not work either.  And more importantly, if the retailer does not have the ability to perform these studies, and make solid business decisions based on this information, they will certainly be “leading” from behind.

USPS’ Upcoming Price Change

Breaking! USPS proposes biggest stamp price hike since 1991

Well, it can be said that the US Postal Service has taken the lead ahead of FedEx and UPS in announcing their 2019 Rate Increases.  UPS and FedEx General rate Increase announcements should not be far behind.  We’re sure all parcel shippers are anxiously awaiting those increase announcements.

This rate increase request from USPS must receive approval from the Postal Rate Commission before they become official.  USPS is proposing that these increases become effective on January 27, 2019.  From our point of view, we do not see where the PRC will object to these increases so mail and parcel shippers get ready to pay more.  As we have said in the past there are three things you can be sure of:  Death, Taxes and General Rate Increases.

More about the increases below courtesy of The US Postal Service;

The Postal Service™ filed notice with the Postal Regulatory Commission (PRC) today of proposed price changes to take effect January 27, 2019. The new prices, if approved, include a five-cent increase in the price of a First-Class Mail® Forever® stamp from 50 cents to 55 cents. Metered letters would have a three-cent increase.

The proposed prices would raise Mailing Services product prices approximately 2.5 percent, and most of the price increases for Shipping Services products will vary by product, with Priority Mail increasing 5.9 percent, and Priority Mail Express increasing 3.9 percent. While Mailing Services price increases are limited based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Shipping Services prices are adjusted strategically, according to market conditions and the need to maintain affordable services for customers.

 

The proposed Mailing Services price changes include:

 

ProductCurrentProposed
Letters (1 oz.)50 cents55 cents
Letters additional ounces21 cents15 cents
Letters (metered)47 cents50 cents

 

The proposed domestic Priority Mail Flat Rate® retail price changes are:

 

 ProductCurrentProposed
Small Flat Rate Box$7.20$7.90
Medium Flat Rate Box$13.65$14.35
Large Flat Rate Box$18.90$19.95
APO/FPO Large Flat Rate Box$17.40$18.45
Regular Flat Rate Envelope$6.70$7.35
Legal Flat Rate Envelope$7.00$7.65
Padded Flat Rate Envelope$7.25$8.00

 

PRC review and approval of the proposed prices are required before the scheduled January 27, 2019 implementation date. The complete Postal Service price filings with the new prices for all products can be found on the PRC site under the Daily Listings section athttps://www.prc.gov/dockets/daily. For the Mailing Services filing, see Oct. 10, 2018, Docket No. R2019-1. For the Shipping Services filing, see Oct. 10, 2018, Docket No. CP2019-3.

 

The Domestic Mail Manual (DMM®) and DMM Advisories are available on Postal Explorer® (pe.usps.com)

 

USPS

Ups and Downs at the US Postal Service

We don’t think it will come as a surprise to anyone that the US Postal Service has again reported huge financial losses.  But there is some good news as well as some obvious bad news behind those numbers; and some interesting information to boot.

First the good news:

·         The USPS delivered 589 million more packages in FY 2017 than they did in the previous fiscal year

·         Those additional packages represented an 11.4% growth rate, not a bad growth rate for any business,  But remember the USPS is not just any business

·         And finally, the current FY loss of $2.7 Billion is down from the previous year’s loss of 5.6 billion.  And, that is a significant improvement

Now for the bad news:

·         The USPS delivered 5 billion fewer pieces of mail in FY 2017 than they delivered in the previous fiscal year.  This was a 3.6% decrease from the previous year.

·         The reason this is so critical is because according to Postmaster Megan Brennan, letter and mail shipping accounts for 70% of its yearly revenue

·         USPS also defaulted on more than $6.9 billion in payments to pre-fund future pension and health benefits for postal workers

So when you analyze the good news and stir in the bad news, you come away more confused than ever and here’s why.

Letter and mail shipping has been and will continue to be on a consistent decline.  So if that revenue source currently represents 70% of the annual USPS revenues, it would behoove them to find another revenue source that will make up for the continuing losses.  They need a positive cash flow solution to replace the declining letter and mail shipping metric and they need to find it and implement really quick. 

But wait, don’t they already have a thriving revenue source in delivering packages?  You bet they do.  Now they need to implement a full-court press to improve their bottom line revenue for delivering packages so that revenue source becomes 70% or perhaps 80% of their annual revenue.

Can it be done? Only time will tell.

Breaking News

Breaking: USPS New Pricing for 2018

All information property of the United States Postal Service and reprinted here as a courtesy to our readers. For more information please visit www.usps.com

DMM Advisory

Classification — keeping you informed about classification and mailing standards of the United States Postal Service

USPS™ Announces New Prices for 2018

The Postal Service™ filed notice with the Postal Regulatory Commission (PRC) today of price changes to take effect Jan. 21, 2018. The new prices, if approved, include a one-cent increase in the price of a First-Class Mail® Forever® stamp from 49 cents to 50 cents. Postcard stamps and metered letters would also have a one-cent increase.

The proposed prices would raise Mailing Services product prices approximately 1.9 percent, and most Shipping Services products will average a 3.9 percent price increase. While Mailing Services price increases are limited based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Shipping Services prices are adjusted strategically, according to market conditions and the need to maintain affordable services for customers.

The proposed Mailing Services price changes include:

ProductCurrentProposed
Letters (1 oz.)49 cents50 cents
Letters additional ounces21 cents21 cents
Letters (metered)46 cents47 cents
Outbound International Letters (1 oz.)$1.15$1.15
Domestic Postcards34 cents35 cents

 

The proposed domestic Priority Mail Flat Rate® retail price changes are:

 

 ProductCurrentProposed
Small Flat Rate Box$7.15$7.20
Medium Flat Rate Box$13.60$13.65
Large Flat Rate Box$18.85$18.90
APO/FPO Large Flat Rate Box$17.35$17.40
Regular Flat Rate Envelope$6.65$6.70
Legal Flat Rate Envelope$6.95$7.00
Padded Flat Rate Envelope$7.20$7.25

 

The PRC will review the prices before they are scheduled to take effect on Jan. 21, 2018. The complete Postal Service price filings with the new prices for all products can be found on the PRC site under the Daily Listings section athttps://www.prc.gov/dockets/daily. For the Mailing Services filing, see Oct. 6, 2017, Docket No. R2018-1. For the Shipping Services filing, see Oct. 6, 2017, Docket No. CP2018-8.

 

The Domestic Mail Manual (DMM®) and DMM Advisories are available on Postal Explorer®(pe.usps.com)