Amazon Prime

30,000 ft View of Amazon’s Prime Day

Each year Amazon says their Prime Day shopping holiday held in July is their biggest sales day(s) of the year and 2019’s initial stats are in line with that statement.

Since Prime Day’s debut in 2015, projected global sales have grown significantly each year in Amazon’s top domestic and international markets.  

Some of the leading product categories from Prime Day 2019 were laptops, televisions, headphones, luxury & beauty products, pet products, household cleaning supplies and over one million toys.  Projections are that Prime members all over the world purchased over 175 million items in 2 days.

Amazon Prime Day Sales Recap

Projected Global Sales (in $billions)Percentage of Sales Domestic vs. International
2015$0.9 B78% Domestic / 22% Intl’
2016$1.52 B76% Domestic/ 24% Intl’ 
2017$2.41 B66% Domestic/ 34% Intl’
2018$4.19 B58% Domestic/ 42% Intl’
2019$5.8 BAwaiting figures

Two large factors contributing to significant year over year sales growth for Prime Day are longer time for the actual sales event and more countries are included than ever before.

Prime Day was typically held for 30 hours and in 2018 was extended to 36 hours; now in 2019 it is a 48 hour sales holiday with new deals posting every 5 minutes in an effort to keep shoppers coming back to the marketplace.

Over 18 countries are included which is double the number from 2015; Prime membership overseas is also growing consistently in top markets like the UK, Mexico, Australia and India. 

Amazon’s goal with Prime Day isn’t just to make Billions of dollars in a short period of time.  They use that intense volume to test their capacity, changes in their network, investments to their in-house transportation and logistics and growing their Prime membership base.

It is estimated that roughly 53% of U.S. households have a Prime membership and Prime Day is one of the best events for Amazon to grow that loyal customer base and profitable annual dues. 

The Prime Membership charge is $119 per year with students paying a discounted fee of $59 per year and plans are also offered on a monthly charge.  Revenue from Prime membership fees is estimated to bring Amazon roughly $12 Billion this year and the perks associated with Prime Membership are expected to improve significantly so Amazon can grow their customer base beyond its already titanic size.

Amazon Prime

Amazon Grows Prime Air Fleet

Amazon’s move to 1 day delivery for Prime customers comes with a significant investment in their transportation and logistics assets.

Last month Amazon announced an order to add 15 Boeing 737-800BCF aircraft from GE Capital Aviation Services, a strategic investment in growing one of their best logistics assets.

Amazon’s current fleet and future orders consist exclusively of Boeing aircraft; by 2021 they will operate a fleet of almost 70 aircraft. 

AircraftIn FleetOrdered
737-800BCF515
767-200BDSF120
767-300BDSF2710
Total4425

Amazon Air as it is formally called flies to various major and regional destinations in order to provide consistent 1 day delivery for Prime customers in major markets.  Amazon Air’s routes have grown to roughly 24 cities since 2016 and this no doubt will increase as more aircraft are added to the fleet.

In spring 2019 Amazon began construction of a $1.5 Billion air hub at the Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport which is scheduled to open sometime in 2021.  This new and crucial facility will house typically 50 of their planes and will create over 2,000 jobs.

In Q3 2019 Amazon’s total investment to improve their asset based logistics and move to 1 day delivery is over $800 Million; this significant investment propels Amazon to rely less on parcel giants like UPS and FedEx.

Click here to see a video of what the Amazon Air Hub will look like when it opens.

Amazon Truck

Amazon Leads the Way AGAIN – Initiates its One Day Shipping Program

Back in April, Amazon announced that it was investing almost $1 Billion to cut their Prime Delivery commitment from two days to one day.  Well, here we are at the beginning of June and Amazon has just announced that the new one-day delivery program officially kicked off Monday, June 10th.  How’s that for a quick implementation plan!

This new one day delivery program will provide a whole host of incredible benefits for Amazon’s on-line customers including, committing to deliver approximately 10 Million different products as part of this new delivery service.  To put this into perspective, Wal-Mart recently announced they too were going to reduce their two day delivery schedule to one day and their program would cover approximately 220,000 items. Not too shabby of course for Wal-Mart but it’s only 20% of Amazon’s product selections.

Amazon also announced that this new one day delivery program will be available “coast to coast,” with no minimum purchase required. In Wal-Mart’s announcement they stated their one day delivery service would cover approximately 75% of the United States this year.  But in reality it remains to be seen just exactly how much of the U.S. population will actually be served by these giant retailers with these new one day delivery programs.

Amazon’s announcement also stated that some of their “most popular items range from books, beauty and baby wipes to devices, dish detergent and doggie bags.”  Amazon also stated that they will “keep adding more selection and expanding our delivery areas to ensure Prime members get their products faster than ever.”

As we all know, for years Amazon has been the leader in setting the bar for online shopping.  Other major online retailers have been continually playing catch up and it looks that will continue to be the case for the future.

So, where does Amazon go from here; it’s anyone’s guess!        

Walmart storefront

Is it Follow the Leader or Lead the Follower?

Last week, Amazon announced it is working on plans to fundamentally change its Prime Two-Day shipping program into a One-Day shipping program.  For years now Amazon has been continually building and strengthening its fulfillment and logistics networks for precisely this reason.

Now today we have learned, (and not to be outdone), Wal-Mart is also moving in the same direction by offering Free One Day shipping on as many as 220,000 different items when Wal-Mart shoppers spend a minimum of $35.00.  Wal-Mart will be initially testing this new speedy delivery concept in Arizona and Nevada and then plan to roll it out into Southern California. From there it will obviously continue to grow in major areas of consumption.

Both companies have obviously been listening to their customers who are apparently obsessed with the need for faster and faster delivery.  Amazon believes it is so important to move in this direction that it has committed over $800 Million to make sure this works. Wal-Mart on the other hand believes it will actually save money because the items they plan to ship in this program will come in just one box.  Additionally the goods will come from a single warehouse that’s closest to Wal-Mart’s customers.

Interestingly, as both companies try to outdo one another, Wal-Mart’s e-commerce business currently is not profitable.  Wal-Mart is forecasting that it will lose even more money in 2019 than it actually lost in 2018. Can they really make up those loses by increasing volumes and expediting delivery times?  Apparently Wal-Mart thinks so.

Another contrasting factor is that Amazon’s Prime customers pay an annual fee currently pegged at $119, while Wal-Mart’s service will be available to most of its customers without any additional charges.  That is a huge difference in available funds to help make these programs financially successful.

Where all this ends up remains to be seen.  But one thing is for sure, we believe this is just the beginning of what will be an ongoing race between these two retail titans, as well as others who will be forced to join the game, for growth in on-line market share.  Each one committed to disrupting the disruptor. Hang on folks, more change is coming.

     

The True Value of Free Shipping

More and more on-line retailers are establishing loyalty programs to gain critical information about a shoppers likes and dislikes.  This data is used to market directly to those shoppers who may want, but may not necessarily need that retailers products.  After all isn’t it the retailers job to entice the shoppers by constantly feeding them product information?  The result, expect more pop-ups and e-mails my friends!  In return for this wealth of information, the retailers are offering “free” shipping which as we all know has become, shall we say, the “standard” for on-line retailers.

The real question however for these online retailers will be as their actual shipping costs rise, (and they are rising continually), how will they manage to continue to offer “free” shipping to their customers.  The answer is and has always been, “the devils in the details.”  And what we mean by that is the retailers must have a wealth of statistical data gleamed from their actual “real time” shipping data to track their costs on an-on-going basis.  Without this data, and more importantly the ability to properly and comprehensively analyze that data, the retailers cannot be assured that their shipping costs aren’t eating into their profits.  Many have found out too late that is exactly what had happened to them.

In addition, the retailers must be willing to continually monitor service offerings as well as shipping costs that are available from various shipping companies who compete with the retailer’s current service provider(s).  While this sounds logical, you would be amazed at how many companies are “locked” into their current service providers and are not aware that shipping options are constantly changing and therefore need to be constantly analyzed.

Is single sourcing the best option for controlling freight costs, perhaps.  Many shippers refuse to “put all their eggs in one basket”, yet others have done so successfully for many years.  Perhaps it makes sense to “share” their annual packages with two or more carriers.  If that’s the approach, what percentage should each carrier receive?  How do these competing carrier’s service levels, rates, ancillary charges, rules and regulations stack up against the incumbent carrier(s)?

The reality is the right answer can only be reached after comprehensive analysis has been done to determine which carrier(s)selection is best.  Then once that selection has been made, it must be tested and challenged year after year to make sure it’s still the best option.  One and done routing decisions never work; not fully understanding continually changing carrier pricing levels will not work either.  And more importantly, if the retailer does not have the ability to perform these studies, and make solid business decisions based on this information, they will certainly be “leading” from behind.

Carts

Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales continue to surge

Well, the Black Friday/Cyber Monday results for online retailers are in and they point to a significant year over year increase in these very popular sales days.  One factor that is clear this year is that these increased sales are less about individual sales days and more about a Thanksgiving week sales event.

What’s interesting about these results is that over the past several weeks there have been several negative financial reports, (stock market decline, threat of rising interest rates, fears of a recession, GM closing plants and laying off workers, etc.)  These factors would normally lead the average person to believe that we would be seeing a slowdown in consumer confidence and therefore those consumers might want to hold onto their money.  Obviously that is not the case and these online retailers are looking forward to a strong holiday shopping season.

So with that being said, a big challenge will now be squarely on the backs of USPS, FedEx, UPS and Amazon to deliver all of those packages on time and in perfect condition to keep everyone happy this holiday season.  Only time will tell if they can all meet this great delivery challenge.

Want a full breakdown? Read more here!